Comprehensive analysis of the forex market includes several key methods and tools that help traders make informed decisions. This analysis is usually divided into three main types:
Fundamental Analysis
Economic Indicators: Analysis of macroeconomic data such as GDP, unemployment rate, inflation, central bank interest rates, and other economic indicators.
News and Events: Monitoring global events (political, economic) that may affect currency exchange rates (e.g., changes in monetary policy, trade wars, etc.).
Central Bank Analysis: Attention to central bank decisions on interest rates and other monetary policy measures.
Technical Analysis
Charts and Indicators: Studying price charts to identify patterns and using various indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD) to forecast future movements.
Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key price levels where the price may either bounce or break through, continuing its movement in a certain direction.
Shapes and Patterns: Analyzing graphical shapes such as "head and shoulders," "triangles," "flags," and others that may signal potential trend changes.
Sentiment Analysis
Trader Positions: Evaluating overall market sentiment, determining what percentage of market participants are in long or short positions. This can provide insights into possible reversals.
Sentiment Indicators: Using indicators such as the Consumer Confidence Index or the Business Activity Index to assess current market sentiment.
Method Integration
A comprehensive approach in forex trading involves combining these methods to achieve more accurate forecasts. For instance, technical analysis can be used to identify entry and exit points, while fundamental analysis can determine long-term trends. Sentiment analysis helps identify potential reversal signals and extreme market conditions, such as overbought or oversold assets.
This comprehensive analysis helps traders and investors be better prepared for market changes, minimize risks, and make more informed decisions.